My research focuses on international security and conflict. I study issues that have real world implications for peace and stability: why countries fight, how states gain international influence through deterrence and bargaining, and the political effects of military technologies such as nuclear weapons and armed drones. ​Here you can find list of select working papers and publications. Please see my CV above for a complete list of publications.

​Select Working Papers

• "Socialization, Self-Selection, and the Life Experiences of World Leaders: Why Business Experience Influences Defense Spending," with James D. Kim. Accepted pending replication check, Journal of Politics.
• "The Logic of Latent Nuclear Deterrence."
• "The Moral Hazard Myth: Nuclear Umbrellas and Reckless Allies," with Todd S. Sechser.
• "Risky Business? Leaders, Business Experience, and Economic Sanctions," with Bryan R. Early and Lauren Bondarenko.

​Select Publications

• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2024. Influence Without Arms: The New Logic of Nuclear Deterrence. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
• Sechser, Todd S. and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2017. Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 
• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2012. Atomic Assistance: How 'Atoms for Peace' Programs Cause Nuclear Insecurity. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press (Studies in Security Affairs).
• Stulberg, Adam N. and Matthew Fuhrmann, eds. 2013. The Nuclear Renaissance and International Security. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.
• Lee, Kyungsuk, James D. Kim, Hwalmin Jin, and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2023. "Nuclear Weapons and Low-Level Military Conflict," International Studies Quarterly, 66 (5).
• Joshua A. Schwartz, Matthew Fuhrmann, and Michael C. Horowitz. 2022. ``Do Armed Drones Counter Terrorism, Or Are They Counterproductive? Evidence from Eighteen Countries,'' International Studies Quarterly, 66 (3).
• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2020. ``When Do Leaders Free-Ride? Business Experience and Contributions to Collective Defense,'' American Journal of Political Science 64 (2): 416-431. Replication files.
• Horowitz, Michael C. and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2018. ``Studying Leaders and Military Conflict: Conceptual Framework and Research Agenda.'' Journal of Conflict Resolution 62 (10): 2072-2086.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Michael C. Horowitz. 2017. “Droning On: Explaining the
  Proliferation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles,” International Organization 71 (2): 397-
  418.
• Horowitz, Michael C., Sarah E. Kreps, and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2016. "Separating Fact from Fiction in the Debate Over Drone Proliferation." International Security 41 (2): 7-42.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Yonatan Lupu. 2016. "Do Arms Control Treaties Work? Assessing the Effectiveness of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty." International Studies Quarterly 60 (3): 530-539. 
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Michael C. Horowitz. 2015. "When Leaders Matter: Rebel Experience and Nuclear Proliferation." Journal of Politics 77 (1): 72-87. Replication files. PDF.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Todd S. Sechser. 2014. "Signaling Alliance Commitments: Hand-Tying and Sunk Costs in Extended Nuclear Deterrence. American Journal of Political Science 58 (4): 919-935. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Todd S. Sechser. 2014. "Nuclear Strategy, Nonproliferation, and the Causes of Foreign Nuclear Deployments," Journal of Conflict Resolution 58 (2): 455-480. Replication files.
• Sechser, Todd S. and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2013. "Crisis Bargaining and Nuclear Blackmail." International Organization 67 (1): 173-195. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
• Early, Bryan R., Matthew Fuhrmann, and Quan Li. 2013. "Atoms for Terror? Nuclear Programs and Noncatastrophic Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism," British Journal of Political Science 43 (4): 915-936. Replication files. 
• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2012. “Splitting Atoms: Why Do Countries Build Nuclear Power Plants?” International Interactions 38 (1): 29-57. Replication files.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Jeffrey Berejikian. 2012. “Disaggregating Noncompliance: Abstention versus Predation in the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 56 (3): 355-381. Replication files.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew and Sarah E. Kreps. 2010. “Targeting Nuclear Programs in War and Peace: A Quantitative Empirical Analysis, 1941-2000,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 54 (6): 831-859. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2009. “Spreading Temptation: Proliferation and Peaceful Nuclear Cooperation Agreements,” International Security 34 (1): 7-41. 
• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2009. “Taking a Walk on the Supply Side: The Determinants of Civilian Nuclear Cooperation,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 53 (2): 181-208. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
• Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2008. “Exporting Mass Destruction? The Determinants of Dual-Use Trade,” Journal of Peace Research 45 (5): 633-652. Replication files.