My research focuses on international security and conflict. I study issues that have real world implications for peace and stability: why countries fight, how states gain international influence through deterrence and bargaining, and the political effects of military technologies such as nuclear weapons and armed drones. Here you can find list of select working papers and publications. Please see my CV above for a complete list of publications.
Select Working Papers
"Socialization, Self-Selection, and the Life Experiences of World Leaders: Why Business Experience Influences Defense Spending," with James D. Kim. Revise and resubmit, Journal of Politics.
"The Logic of Latent Nuclear Deterrence."
"The Moral Hazard Myth: Nuclear Umbrellas and Reckless Allies," with Todd S. Sechser.
"Risky Business? Leaders, Business Experience, and Economic Sanctions," with Bryan R. Early and Lauren Bondarenko.
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2024. Influence Without Arms: The New Logic of Nuclear Deterrence. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Sechser, Todd S. and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2017. Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2012. Atomic Assistance: How 'Atoms for Peace' Programs Cause Nuclear Insecurity. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press (Studies in Security Affairs).
Stulberg, Adam N. and Matthew Fuhrmann, eds. 2013. The Nuclear Renaissance and International Security. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.
Lee, Kyungsuk, James D. Kim, Hwalmin Jin, and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2023. "Nuclear Weapons and Low-Level Military Conflict," International Studies Quarterly, 66 (5).
Joshua A. Schwartz, Matthew Fuhrmann, and Michael C. Horowitz. 2022. ``Do Armed Drones Counter Terrorism, Or Are They Counterproductive? Evidence from Eighteen Countries,'' International Studies Quarterly, 66 (3).
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2020. ``When Do Leaders Free-Ride? Business Experience and Contributions to Collective Defense,'' American Journal of Political Science 64 (2): 416-431. Replication files.
Horowitz, Michael C. and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2018. ``Studying Leaders and Military Conflict: Conceptual Framework and Research Agenda.'' Journal of Conflict Resolution 62 (10): 2072-2086.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Michael C. Horowitz. 2017. “Droning On: Explaining the Proliferation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles,” International Organization 71 (2): 397- 418.
Horowitz, Michael C., Sarah E. Kreps, and Matthew Fuhrmann. 2016. "Separating Fact from Fiction in the Debate Over Drone Proliferation." International Security 41 (2): 7-42.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Yonatan Lupu. 2016. "Do Arms Control Treaties Work? Assessing the Effectiveness of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty." International Studies Quarterly 60 (3): 530-539.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Michael C. Horowitz. 2015. "When Leaders Matter: Rebel Experience and Nuclear Proliferation." Journal of Politics 77 (1): 72-87. Replication files. PDF.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Todd S. Sechser. 2014. "Signaling Alliance Commitments: Hand-Tying and Sunk Costs in Extended Nuclear Deterrence. American Journal of Political Science 58 (4): 919-935. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Todd S. Sechser. 2014. "Nuclear Strategy, Nonproliferation, and the Causes of Foreign Nuclear Deployments," Journal of Conflict Resolution 58 (2): 455-480. Replication files.
Early, Bryan R., Matthew Fuhrmann, and Quan Li. 2013. "Atoms for Terror? Nuclear Programs and Noncatastrophic Nuclear and Radiological Terrorism," British Journal of Political Science 43 (4): 915-936. Replication files.
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2012. “Splitting Atoms: Why Do Countries Build Nuclear Power Plants?” International Interactions 38 (1): 29-57. Replication files.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Jeffrey Berejikian. 2012. “Disaggregating Noncompliance: Abstention versus Predation in the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 56 (3): 355-381. Replication files.
Fuhrmann, Matthew and Sarah E. Kreps. 2010. “Targeting Nuclear Programs in War and Peace: A Quantitative Empirical Analysis, 1941-2000,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 54 (6): 831-859. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2009. “Spreading Temptation: Proliferation and Peaceful Nuclear Cooperation Agreements,” International Security 34 (1): 7-41.
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2009. “Taking a Walk on the Supply Side: The Determinants of Civilian Nuclear Cooperation,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 53 (2): 181-208. Replication files. Supplementary appendix.
Fuhrmann, Matthew. 2008. “Exporting Mass Destruction? The Determinants of Dual-Use Trade,” Journal of Peace Research 45 (5): 633-652. Replication files.